Hawks aim to bounce back against reeling Knicks

Basketball Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Hawks didn't open their current road trip the way they had planned this past weekend, but seem to have a good shot at bouncing back Monday night against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

Atlanta had its four-game winning streak cut short with Saturday's 100-94 loss at Miami in the opener of a three-game trek. Sixth Man of the Year candidate Jamal Crawford scored 24 points off the bench to lead Atlanta, which dropped to 15-15 as the visitor this season.

Joe Johnson netted 20 points and Josh Smith had 17 in the tough loss.

"We were controlling the game, and we had the tempo where we wanted it," said Hawks head coach Mike Woodson. "Teams are going to make runs. [The Heat] made a great run. They stayed with the zone."

The Hawks are fourth in the Eastern Conference and three games back of Orlando for the lead in the Southeast Division, and will also visit Washington on the trek. They had a chance to stay within striking distance of the Magic for the top spot, but Orlando fended off the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday to extend its lead.

New York is coming off a disturbing loss to the worst team in the NBA, the New Jersey Nets, and has dropped two straight and four of five games. In Saturday's 113-93 setback to the Nets in the opener of a short homestand, David Lee recorded 23 points and six boards in losing fashion.

Wilson Chandler registered a double-double with 20 points and 10 boards for New York, which blew a 16-point lead in the first half to fall to 13-21 in the Big Apple this season. The Knicks also set an NBA record by going 0-for-18 from three-point range. The last time they did not make a three-pointer in a game was on March 29, 2006, when they went 0-of-6 from downtown versus Boston.

"We gave them confidence," said Knicks newcomer Tracy McGrady, who posted two points and seven assists. "And once that happened, all hell froze over."

After tonight's game versus the Hawks, New York will kick off a five-game road trip through San Antonio, Memphis, Dallas, Philadelphia and Boston. McGrady, meanwhile, is questionable for Monday with body soreness.

The Knicks have won two of the first three meetings of the season with Atlanta, and 15 of the last 19 meetings between the teams at the Garden.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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